NCAA Season 94 Preview
MOA Arena
July 5, 2018
It’s that time of the year again when we have to write something about the much-awaited 94th NCAA basketball tournament, which will start any day now.
As always, we would break down each team on why they will win the title and why they won’t. Only shorter this time since we’re previewing all 10 teams in just one story, unlike last year when we did it in three parts.
Again, we have Madam Auring to make the prediction for us.
So here it is.
Mapua: Cardinal Rule
Allwell Oraeme is probably out of for good. We were hoping the two-time league MVP would come out of his hibernation this year and help the Cardinals regain lost footing. But he didn’t. So while we love the new recruits, it will be a long season for Mapua.
Why it would not win?
The lack of go-to-guy may play a big factor on this. Perhaps it will be Laurenz Paul Victoria’s time to take the cudgels. I mean the guy can score from everywhere. He’s also relentless. But I’m not sure if he can jump into the next level this year. I want him to prove me wrong. The rest, though talented and hardworking, are all role players.
Why it would win?
I love Warren Bonifacio, a rookie out of Mapau’s high school program, staying put to join his alma mater. That speaks highly of his character. I’ve watched the kid, he’s tough as nails. Jasper Selanga is also a prized acquisition. I’m not sure about Noah Lugo, who has returned to the school where he spent high school after a brief, uneventful stint with Lyceum of the Phl U. The guy is uber talented but his conditioning is dragging him down. If he can be disciplined enough to stay in tip top shape, he would be a force to reckon with in this league.
Madam Auring: Atoy Co has stayed as coach. He’s a funny guy and we all love the Fortune Cookie. He’s a Hall-of-Fame Quotable Coach winner. We hope and pray we see him in the press room more than thrice that we saw him last season.
Perpetual Help: Big Eze
They’ve changed coach with hopes of changing its floundering fortunes. They have some good hires but their best recruit is Frankie Lim, a multi-titled mentor who has steered San Beda to four championships during his time there more than a decade ago. And kudos to Perpetual Help team owner Antonio “Tony” Tamayo for his foresight of tapping Lim.
Why it would not win?
With the exception of Nigerian Prince Eze, AJ Coronel and playing team manager Anton Tamayo, the Altas have lost practically everyone. Keith Pido was supposed to play but he injured his foot and is out of the season. So it would really be hard to be at par with the likes of San Beda and LPU, which both have kept the core of their rosters from last season and added some to further strengthen it. But who knows.
Why it would win?
Frankie Lim. I’m always a believer of a good system. He has it. And the guy has championship pedigree as a player and coach. He could make a monster out Prince Eze, who if he stays healthy, could be an early candidate for MVP.
Madam Auring: “Eze lang kayo, kaya iyan.”
St. Benilde: TY is the Real Tang
Of the last 15 seasons, the Blazers have only one winning season, which came four years ago when they compiled an 11-7 (win-loss) record but finished only fifth. It’s total record during that span was an atrocious 69-173. The last time they made the Final Four was in 2002 when they eventually finished second to San Sebastian. The long Final Four wait could end this year though. They made heads turn in the Filoil Pre-Season Cup where they topped one group and eventually finished fourth overall and second-best NCAA team behind eventual second placer San Beda. This is the year they could end a long, 16-year Final Four drought and perhaps win it all.
Why it would not win?
Inexperience. As I’ve stated, the last time the Blazers made it that far was in 2002. That was way, way back. Without this, it would be real hard to compete against battle-tested San Beda and LPU should they make it to the finals.
Why it would win?
If you had seen CSB play in the summer, they were an entirely different team from last season. Not only did they strengthen their defense, which was its only strength in seasons past, the Blazers have also displayed some scoring prowess thanks to the return of Yankie Haruna from a season-ending shoulder injury, the significant improvement of Cameroonian Clement Leutcheu, Unique Naboa Edward Dixon, JJ Domingo and Kendrix Belgica and the addition of do-it-all forward Justin Gutang and guard Frederick Pasturan. They’re deep in every position. The long season would be a plus because CSB is improving every game, which should be bad news for the rest of the NCAA. Credit all that to TY Tang, who is fast learning the ropes as a coach.
Madam Auring: Remember 2000? CSB’s team that season was never given a chance. You know what happened? They won it all.
EAC: General Hamadou
Coach Ariel Sison told me during last Tuesday’s press conference at the MOA Arena that Laminou Hamadou made his very first full-contact practice the day before after recovering from an ACL injury that sidelined him most of last season. This is good news for a team that needed a rim protector and an inside presence especially that Sydney Onwubere has left.
Why it would not win?
With Onwubere gone, this team needs a leader. So far, we haven’t seen anyone step up. Perhaps it could be Jerome Garcia or Jethro Mendoza. Maybe Jesse Bautista. We don’t know.
Why it would win?
I’m pinning my hopes on the 6-11 Hamadou to dish out an MVP season. If he can do that, maybe the Generals have a chance.
Madam Auring: This could be the Season Sison is waiting for. Or Ariel’s Season. We’ll see.
AU: Chief Problem
Kent Salado isn’t playing. That is bad news for an AU team that is pinning its hopes on perhaps one of the league’s best combo guards.
Why it wouldn’t win?
Salado. Salado is MVP material. Without him, the Chiefs would be hard-pressed to fill his massive void by committee. And that is hard.
Why it would win?
AU coach Jerry Codinera has nice pieces outside Salado. Rence Luis Alcoriza, Michael Canete, Archie Concepcion, Levi dela Cruz and Brylle Meca among them. They could evolve into someone bigger with minutes bound to come aplenty.
Madam Auring: I SMELL an Elie Ongolo Ongolo breakout season.
Letran: First Knight
They say this year’s batch is the best Letran team ever formed since Louie Alas’ time. No disrespect to the 2015 Letran team that defied logic and every basketball reason by beating everyone including import-laced San Beda. No one (with the exception of Aldin Ayo and Fr. Vic Calvo) expected that Aldin Ayo team to make it to the Final Four, much more win it. On paper, this Jeff Napa team is tall and locked and loaded. Their “Big Three” will remain Bong Quinto, JP Calvo and Jerrick Balanza (Depending if the kid decides to come out of his shell). Leo Ambohot, barring injuries, should improve from an already head-turning effort a season ago. Same with defense-first Jeremiah Taladua and Alexander Mandreza. And oh, have I mentioned the transferees? Edson Batiller and Fran Yu from University of the East, Christian Fajarito from CSB and Larry Muyang from La Salle. Are you gushing now?
Why it would not win?
Jeff Napa. This is the year that he needed to deliver. He has the material. That will be a lot of pressure for the multi-titled high school coach seeking his first shot at a college crown. Can he handle it? That remains to be seen.
Why it would win?
Jeff Napa. Some nerves in my brain think this is the year Napa could end his his tirle chase. I mean this Letran team is strong. Strong as in championship strong. Ooops. There’s that word.
Madam Auring: Who is Aldin Ayo?
San Sebastian: Stag Party?
After overachieving last year, I was hoping they would be a legit title contender this year. But they lost practically half of their team from a season ago including Ryan Costelo, Jayson David, Renzo Navarro, Alfren Gayosa and Justin Mercado. Imagine if they had stayed.
Why it would not win?
Again, the players they lost are vital cogs to their Final Four finish last year. It’s a massive blow losing them.
Why it would win?
Michael Calisaan, RK Ilagan and Allyn Bulanadi had stayed. And so were Alvin Capobres, JM Calma, Ian Valdez and Michae Are. I’m also a believer of Egay Macaraya, who has won championships in all the leagues he had coached. The only hardware that is not yet in his trophy cabinet is the NCAA. It could arrive in October.
Madam Auring: Don’t let Calisaan ride a motorcycle again. Ever.
Jose Rizal: Bombed out
The Bombers are obviously on a rebuilding phase after losing key players in Tey Tey Teodoro, Ervin Grospe, Abdel Poutuouchi and Abdulwahab Abdulrazak. Vergel Meneses has remained as a coach though. Gio Lasquety too, but not as a player, but as one of Meneses’ assistants.
Why it would not win?
Tough to play in a tournament where the fancied teams have kept the core of the rosters and added some while yours have lost almost everyone.
Why it would win? This will be Jed Mendoza’s team for sure. I expect him to break out this year. Mark dela Virgen and Aaron Bordon should get a big share of the minutes also. Another good news is the return of former NCAA high school MVP Darius Estrella. There is a glimmer of hope for this team.
Madam Auring: Mamimiss ang tigas ni Tey Tey.
LPU: Pillaging, Plundering Pirates
You and I know it will only be a matter of time that these Pirates would finally win the title that eluded them last season. Reigning MVP Jaymar Perez, MJ Ayaay, Mike Nzeusseu and Marcelino twins Jayvee and Jayvee are back and for sure have learned from last year’s heartbreaking experience when they swept the elimination only to get swept by the Lions in the Finals. LPU coach Topex Robinson isn’t the type of person who will say it but I know he and his players are itching exact revenge on San Beda.
Why it would not win?
Will last year’s painful finals defeat be enough to serve as motivation for LPU? If not, that title will remain elusive.
Why it would win?
Have I mentioned that Rhanzelle Yong, that transferee from San Sebastian who is so talented that Calisaan backs him up in high school? He is suiting up for the Pirates this year. I hope injury will not deny us of seeing how good this player is.
Madam Auring: Love wins.
San Beda: Dynastic Reign
The Lions remained the league’s yardstick. And for good measure. They have an intact line up that included Robert Bolick, Javee Mocon, reigning Finals MVP Donald Tankoua, Clint Doliguez, AC Soberano, Franz Abuda and Jose Mari Presbitero. Calvin Oftana is evolving into a consistent contributor. Kenmark Carino too. San Beda has also injected 6-9 Toba Eugene of Nigeria as Arnaud Noah’s replacement after the former had a laudable pre-season. Evan Nelle, that talented guard from its high school program, has also joined the team and will be the Lions’ PG of the future.
Why it would not win?
I have seen Bolick benched in the second half of the title game against Ateneo, And boy, the Lions were blown out without Bolick. It will be shame if this happens in the NCAA.
Why it would win?
This could be the year Bolick, who delayed his PBA dream for one more year to chase another ring, emerges as the league MVP. San Beda will need an MVP Bolick to beat all comers. A non-MVP Bolick could be fatal for the Lions.
Madam Auring: Call him Babes Bolick
Sportsmayosep’s prognosis: Time for the real forecast. Who wouldn’t predict a San Beda-LPU Part Two? They remained the consensus favorites to battle for the crown. The opposing coaches say so. Why would we think otherwise? But again, there could be an Aldin Ayo and a Letran somewhere who came from NOT being given a chance to WINNING it all. As they say, “Bilog ang bola (The Ball is round).”
Follow me on Twitter: @JoeySVillar
(Photo by Rey Nillama)